NZIJ 126 - November 2007


Fear of the future

As the topic of SOE privatisation hit the news again recently with reference to the National Party’s manifesto intentions, images of the TranzRail fiasco amongst others came to the fore. Our lead article by Mark Weldon, CEO, NZ Exchange Limited, attempts to show that fear of a repeat of past actions should not stop us from learning from what went before and proposing a newer and better model for SOEs.
The diminishing number of large, well-performing companies on the New Zealand Exchange and the possibility that more of them may soon capitulate to takeovers or to moving offshore is increasing worries of a takeover of the NZ Exchange itself by overseas interests. Seen in this light, a move to allow the public to invest in a new model of SOE while retaining government control is worth consideration.
Fear is one of the emotions that can cause havoc in the markets - mainly because it is contagious! There needs to exist no real cause for fear but once it is out there then it can be self-sustaining.
The cool wind that is blowing through the finance companies at the moment is an example. While undoubtedly there was good reason for the first few collapses, other companies that were previously comparatively well-rated are now facing the problem of investors withdrawing funds as they mature and not reinvesting. The best companies will always take such a scenario into account and will plan wisely by matching the duration of their lending with that of their borrowing, and by also having a solid call facility with their banks.
Fear can overcome rational thinking when it comes to planning investment. The introduction of the FDR regime certainly showed this. There are a number of different questions that arise for individuals and for family trusts. Fritz de Boer is well-qualified to help you with these and also to advise you on any matters associated with the PIE regime.
The only way to combat fear is to take positive measures to prevent foreseeable problems - this applies as much to our personal lives as to those on the level of the country’s economy.
KiwiSaver and retirement planning are two positive initiatives that individuals can take to secure their own future. It has to be said that the effectiveness of these schemes is reliant on there being reasonable returns from investment. However the very fact that there is more capital available to go into investment will provide a boost to the markets and companies who are the beneficiaries of this extra source of capital.
For help with KiwiSaver or any financial planning matters please contact Fritz de Boer at NZIJ Financial Services on 0800 90 60 90 or email fritz@nzij.co.nz


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